Populist Leaders and the Economy
Christoph Trebesch, Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick – 2023
Populism at the country level is at an all-time high, with more than 25 percent of nations currently governed by populists. How do economies perform under populist leaders? We build a new long-run cross-country database to study the macroeconomic history of populism. We identify 51 populist presidents and prime ministers from 1900 to 2020 and show that the economic cost of populism is high. After 15 years, GDP per capita is 10 percent lower compared to a plausible nonpopulist counterfactual. Economic disintegration, decreasing macroeconomic stability, and the erosion of institutions typically go hand in hand with populist rule.
Title
Populist Leaders and the Economy
Author
Christoph Trebesch, Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick
Publisher
American Economic Review
Keywords
Peer-reviewed Journal
Date
2023-12
Identifier
doi.org/10.1257/aer.20202045
Citation
Funke, Manuel / Schularick, Moritz & Trebesch, Christoph 2023: Populist Leaders and the Economy, American Economic Review, 113(12): 3249-3288, doi.org/10.1257/aer.20202045.
Type
Text